差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美元兌加幣匯率聚焦通膨和加拿大央行

美元/加幣將再次聚焦美國通膨數據和加拿大央行利率決議。

USDCAD – Daily Chart

美元兌加幣-日圖

美元兌加元匯率在1.35找到了支撐,目前正在尋求突破。 阻力位在1.38-1.39附近,上行趨勢支撐線使較高的水平發揮作用。

預計加拿大央行本週三將維持基準利率不變。 在進行四年來的首次降息之前,它預計會出現進一步的通膨。 市場押注最快可能在6月降息。

加拿大的通貨膨脹率從2022年6月8.1%的高峰迴落。 週五的勞動力調查也顯示就業市場進一步疲軟。 然而,央行再次降息可能會推動房價再次上漲。

路透社的一項調查發現,超過70%的經濟學家預計加拿大央行將在6月首次降息,這與市場預期相符。 其中七人預計第一次降息將在7月;剩下的四個都是九月。

加拿大經濟贅商會首席經濟學家Pedro Antunes表示:「經濟真的相當脆弱。」加拿大央行將在周三宣布其貨幣政策決定,美國也將公佈通膨數據。

在這兩項聲明之後,美元兌加幣將獲得本週的指引。

經濟學家預計,美國最近一個月的通膨率將從3.2%上升至3.4%,這為聯準會預期的降息路徑增添了疑慮。

隨著投資者撤回對市場的預測,美元對其他主要貨幣的匯率正在降溫。

MUFG匯市分析師在最新研究報告中稱,”最新的事態發展加大了聯準會在降息方面可能落後於其他主要央行的風險。”

他們補充稱:“通膨再次出現意外上行,可能引發鷹派人士對美聯儲降息預期進行更大程度的重新評估,並為美元突破高位打開大門。”

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