差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

隨零售投資者資金流動,納指漲勢可能放緩

納斯達克100指數在2023年上漲,因為特斯拉等公司看到了大量零售投資者的流入。研究表明,最新的零售熱潮可能會持續下去,納斯達克指數可能會逆轉。

納指日圖

NAS100 - Daily Chart

納斯達克100指數已經跌破50移動平均線和38%的斐波那契回撤位。下一個目標是50%水平11784,但交易者應該在這裡觀察市場走強。

特斯拉的投資者日未能激勵投資者,當天特斯拉股價下跌1.43%。

季節性模式表明,由於納稅申報的最後期限,從現在到4月份,零售投資者購買股票的勢頭可能會減弱。

市場專家對零售投資者趨勢的警告

“納稅季前的季節性因素表明,流入美國市場的資金將開始減速,”Vanda在一份研究報告中表示。 “4月份ETF和單一股票的購買量往往會同步下降。這是因為……在4月份,所有證券通常都會出現拋售,這意味著投資者囤積投資以積累現金來支付他們的納稅義務。”

Vanda稱:”如果股市在未來幾週因零售投資者流動放緩而承壓,那麼不太受青睞的科技股的拋售可能有助於確定最終的轉機。”“在過去一年裡,這類科技股的下跌往往與大盤指數的轉折點相吻合。”

“季節性通常在第二季度末有所改善,但鑑於美國股市對零售投資者的依賴程度,投資者首先必須在未來幾周謹慎行事,”Vanda補充道。

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