差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在消化聯準會鷹派後,股市本周可能反彈

美國股市上週拖累全球股指下跌,但中國股市週五的反彈可能會持續下去。

CH50: Daily Chart

CH50日圖

CH50指數反彈至12680,並可能在本週稍早有機會進一步走高。

美國股受到聯準會持續鷹派政策的沉重打擊,本週在數據市場平靜的情況下,股市可能會反彈。 美國將於本周公布GDP數據,但交易員可能認為最近的下跌過度了。

中國8月份的經濟活動看起來有所好轉,但房地產行業仍存在一些疲軟。 根據國家統計局的數據,衡量製造業和採礦業等產業表現的工業生產,8月份比去年同期成長4.5%。

零售銷售也較上年同期成長4.6%,而7月的增幅僅為2.5%。

然而,在房地產領域,政府支持的大型房地產開發商遠洋集團表示,將暫停償還其海外借款,這是房地產危機持續的另一個跡象。 根據國家統計局的數據,今年前8個月房地產投資數據年減8.8%。

麥格理集團中國首席經濟學家Larry Hu表示,儘管“普遍悲觀”,但中國最糟糕的時期可能已經過去。 在全球經濟放緩的背景下,中國遭受了出口需求疲軟和有史以來最嚴重的房地產滑坡的打擊。

他表示:「未來,整體成長數據可能會因政策支持和基數效應而有所改善,但成長速度將是溫和的。」他指出,房地產行業疲軟,企業主和消費者信心低迷。

中國政府因適度降息0.10%以刺激經濟而受到批評,但這可能表明情況並不像看起來那麼糟。 如果房地產行業進一步受到影響,中國央行還有更大的刺激工具可用。 目前形勢似乎得到了控制。

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