差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

原油價格有望迎接新一輪升勢

油價已經在一個長期價格通道的頂部找到了支撐,現在準備向前推進。

在93美元水平的第一個阻力是衝擊100美元之前的防線。

原油價格週圖

weekly oil chart

原油價格通道出現了典型的突破和回調動作,在80美元的低位找到了支撐,現在有望走高。

根據高盛的預測,到明年4月,原油價格可能飆升至每桶115美元。

Jeff Currie對CNBC表示:“到2023年,供應將相對緊張,我們認為這將帶來顯著的上行。”

Currie指出,美國將停止釋放戰略石油儲備的供應,歐盟將於12月禁止進口俄羅斯原油,鑽探不足導緻美國頁岩油產量處於低位,所有這些都刺激了原油價格的上漲。

“我們第一季油價目標為每桶115美元,但有上行風險,” Currie稱。

減產令OPEC+擁有一些”可選性”,如果全球經濟在4月前出現意外反彈,將有助於增加供應。

歐佩克減產的動機是擔心經濟衰退,90%的美國首席執行官傾向於同意他們的觀點,這不是我們的基本預測,他們只能選擇增產。

布倫特和西德克薩斯中質油價格在10月份收高。在油價自5月以來首次出現月度上漲後不久,歐佩克即將開始每日減產200萬桶。

美聯儲周三的利率會議也將推動油價上漲。投資者預計將再加息75個基點,但這暗示其大幅加息的步伐將放緩。

此前油價在6月份的高點是120美元,這將成為未來幾個月油價進一步上漲的目標。

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