差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

在特朗普与欧佩克影响中交投,原油价格走软

由于投资者认为唐纳德·特朗普降低油价的承诺比欧佩克减产的拖累力度更大,油价已经走弱。

USOIL – Daily Chart

美国原油-日图

自10月下旬以来,美国原油价格曾两次试图触底,但均以失败告终。现在有重新测试66.50-67美元附近支撑位的风险。

唐纳德·特朗普制定了一项计划,以增加美国的钻探活动,并将石油价格减半。这些言论将使近年来试图通过减产来支撑油价的欧佩克国家领导人感到担忧。

消息人士称,特朗普计划在上任后几天内推出新措施,批准新的液化天然气项目的出口许可证,并增加美国海岸和联邦土地上的石油钻探。

即将卸任的拜登政府一直在寻求减少美国对化石燃料的依赖,转向绿色能源。预计早期的一个优先事项将是取消拜登总统在选举年暂停的液化天然气新许可证。另一个关键举措是批准加拿大的Keystone管道项目,这是一个环境问题的引爆点,在拜登上任的第一天就被叫停了,这可能会导致工作岗位流失。

“美国人民可以相信特朗普总统在第一天就会利用他的行政权力来兑现他在竞选过程中对他们做出的承诺,”竞选发言人卡罗琳·莱维特说。

预计特朗普还将向总部位于巴黎的国际能源机构施压,要求其支持亲石油政策。如果他们只专注于减排,总统可以拒绝向该组织提供资金。

Canary油田公司首席执行官Dan Eberhart表示:“我已经亲自敦促特朗普和他的团队向国际能源署施压,要求其回归能源安全的核心使命,远离‘漂绿’。”

短期来看,投资银行高盛认为,OPEC减产有可能将原油从目前的低点推高。如果油价继续试探最近的低点,2025年可能会处于一个低点,沙特阿拉伯及其盟友可能会采取行动。

未来一年,随着全球热点和特朗普与欧佩克的价格战,石油市场可能会进一步波动。

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