差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

原油價格自7月低點尋求支撐

油價已從7月份的低點反彈,並將尋求進一步上漲。

USOIL - Daily Chart

美國原油—日圖

原油在74美元的水平找到了支撐,並將在78美元的關卡遇到阻力。 如果高於這一水平,可能會去到80美元左右。

18位分析師中的大多數預測,石油輸出國組織(OPEC)可能會延長或深化明年的石油供應削減。

儘管OPEC減產導致供應減少,而且中東緊張局勢升級可能導致供應進一步中斷,但近期油價仍大幅拋售。 沙烏地阿拉伯、俄羅斯和其他成員國承諾,從2022年底開始採取一系列措施,將石油總產量削減約500萬桶/天,佔全球日需求的5%。

沙烏地阿拉伯在7月首次削減了100萬桶/日的產量,並將其延長至今年底。 然而,官員表示,他們不會容忍油價低於80美元。

「我們認為,歐佩克將利用其定價權,確保油價在80-100美元之間,歐佩克看跌期權的下限為80美元,閒置產能的上限為100美元。儘管非歐佩克國家供應增加或GDP下降是價格下行 的風險,但我們估計,除非歐佩克變得不那麼強硬,否則油價將保持在接近80美元的水平。」高盛分析師表示。

「油價正在下跌,這將引起歐佩克成員國,特別是沙烏地阿拉伯的一些擔憂。我們所看到的價格疲軟意味著,沙烏地阿拉伯越來越有可能將自願減產100萬桶/日的目標推遲到明年初 。這樣做應有助於消除預期的過剩,並為市場提供一些支撐。”

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