差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

北約未出兵 美元回落外幣反彈

俄烏緊張局勢持續,美元連續三週上升。俄軍正式入侵烏克蘭後,歐洲貨幣全面急挫,歐羅兌美元單日挫兩百多點子,低見1.1106。美元則創五周高位見97.68,剛好是美國新冠疫症大流行前的高位跟去年一月低位之反彈浪61.8%。

俄烏戰火連天之際,美國總統拜登和北約維和軍未見起兵動武,投資態度隨即180度轉向,美元回落至96.51,大部分主要貨幣收復失地,兌美元大幅反彈。

本周美元可否重振,首先要緊盯俄烏局勢。若美軍和北約軍介入反攻俄軍,再次掀起避險情緒,資金將流向美元。

本週另一市場焦點是澳洲及加拿大央行議息。市場上,預期澳聯儲維持利率不變,指標利率維持0.1%。但澳聯儲買債規模將會可能縮減和預告年內漲息計劃。上週俄烏局勢緊張,澳元兌美元一度下挫,因澳聯儲議息,澳元收復大部份失地。若澳聯儲宣讀鷹派立場,澳美可望上探0.73水平。反之,將下探50線或下方,如0.7140。

 

澳儲若放鷹 澳元可上試0.73

週三晚,加拿大央行宣告議息結果。目前分析估計,央行將會加息0.25基點,指標利率升至0.5%。另外,關注議息後央行行長發表未來政策取向。若央行語調帶鷹派,將會利好加元,美元兌加元可望下探三週前低位1.2633。突破該位將下試50 週線測試1.2530。

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