差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

北约未出兵 美元回落外币反弹

俄乌紧张局势持续,美元连续三周上升。俄军正式入侵乌克兰后,欧洲货币全面急挫,欧罗兑美元单日挫两百多点子,低见1.1106。美元则创五周高位见97.68,刚好是美国新冠疫症大流行前的高位跟去年一月低位之反弹浪61.8%。

俄乌战火连天之际,美国总统拜登和北约维和军未见起兵动武,投资态度随即180度转向,美元回落至96.51,大部分主要货币收复失地,兑美元大幅反弹。

本周美元可否重振,首先要紧盯俄乌局势。若美军和北约军介入反攻俄军,再次掀起避险情绪,资金将流向美元。

本周另一市场焦点是澳洲及加拿大央行议息。市场上,预期澳联储维持利率不变,指标利率维持0.1%。但澳联储买债规模将会可能缩减和预告年内涨息计划。上周俄乌局势紧张,澳元兑美元一度下挫,因澳联储议息,澳元收复大部份失地。若澳联储宣读鹰派立场,澳美可望上探0.73水平。反之,将下探50线或下方,如0.7140。

 

澳储若放鹰 澳元可上试0.73

周三晚,加拿大央行宣告议息结果。目前分析估计,央行将会加息0.25基点,指标利率升至0.5%。另外,关注议息后央行行长发表未来政策取向。若央行语调带鹰派,将会利好加元,美元兑加元可望下探三周前低位1.2633。突破该位将下试50 周线测试1.2530。

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