差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

疲軟的中國CPI帶來進一步刺激政策的期待

中國最新的通膨數據低於預期,投資人期待中國出台進一步的刺激措施。

CH50 – Daily Chart

CH50日圖

自1月份以來,CH50指數一直在反彈,但價格現在在12265位遇到了一些阻力。 如果該指數未能守住12,000點的水平,可能會導致進一步拋售。

中國3月消費者物價指數低於預期,出廠者物價指數再次出現通貨緊縮。 投資人現在看到決策者面臨進一步的壓力,要求他們推出更多刺激措施來提振經濟。

世界第二大經濟體的通縮壓力似乎正在緩解,儘管持續的房地產危機仍在損害消費者和企業信心。 根據國家統計局的數據,三月居民消費價格較去年同期上漲0.1%。 這遠低於2月0.7%的漲幅(這是6個月來的首次上漲),也低於路透社調查預測的0.4%的漲幅。

1月和2月的數據以及3月的工廠調查顯示需求增加,但經濟學家警告稱,農曆新年可能會造成扭曲。

經濟學人智庫高級經濟學家徐天辰表示:“季節性影響肯定起了作用——食品價格在2月份中國春節期間大幅上漲,隨後又回落。”

「更廣泛地說,產能過剩問題正在以一種阻礙中國人民銀行推動經濟再膨脹的努力的方式傳遞到價格上,」徐補充說。 “汽車價格同比下降4.6%,這可能表明製造商在分銷和銷售過程中引入了更大幅度的降價。”

中國政府推出了一系列刺激家庭支出的措施,包括放寬汽車貸款法規。 然而,由於經濟放緩和就業市場疲軟,消費者對大宗採購仍持謹慎態度。

本月早些時候,中國人民銀行表示,將促進家庭收入成長,滿足消費者信貸需求,同時減緩臃腫產業的擴張。

分析師擔心,信貸更多流向生產,而不是消費,這可能會降低央行貨幣政策工具的效果。 這種情況可能會隨著經濟進一步疲軟或通貨緊縮問題而演變,在採取進一步措施之前,股市可能會再次下跌。

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