差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

日元等待美聯儲對通脹的回應

美元兌日元在143.50點遇到了一些阻力,這可能導緻美元本週進一步下跌。

最先影響市場的數據將是周二日本的通脹數據,而美聯儲的利率決定將在周三成為焦點。usdjpy chart 0-Sep-19-2022-08-17-57-91-AM

美元兌日元4小時圖

美元兌日元目前在143交投,在141.50位有支撐。然而,如果跌破該水平,可能會開闢一條通往7月高位139.40附近的路徑。

日本通貨膨脹率在連續三個月保持在2.5%的水平後,在8月份上升到2.6%。如果利率進一步上升,那麼日元可能會出現反彈。不過,日本央行在收緊貨幣政策方面可能仍會很頑固,與此同時美聯儲等央行在收緊全球市場的流動性。

市場預計美聯儲將在周三再次加息0.75%,但一些分析師表示,加息1%是有可能的。如果央行加息0.50-0.75%,並對未來利率走向發表一些鴿派言論,那麼美元可能會遭遇拋售。

荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師表示:

由於美聯儲在最近的評論中一直保持相當強硬的立場,可能無意在9月會議上推遲過於強硬的定價,因此在現階段,可能主要取決於數據,以迫使任何鴿派的重新定價。

《西澳大利亞州報》指出,未來一周將出現“500個基點的全球衝擊”。

在整個緊縮週期中,美國經濟一直保持強勁,美聯儲似乎不會感到改變方向的壓力。日本官員可能進行貨幣干預的威脅意味著美元兌日元的上行空間可能會被限制在最近的高點145。

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