差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

如何借英國GDP報告交易英鎊/美元?

英鎊兌美元匯率將於週一晚些時候公佈英國最新三個月GDP預估。

這一數據可能會在本週晚些時候美國通脹數據之前推動匯價走勢。

英鎊/美元週圖

GBPUSD Weekly Chart

英鎊兌美元一直呈上升趨勢,並在11月反彈至趨勢通道上方進一步上漲。 1.23水平是回落至1.20或進一步上漲的阻力位。

週一公佈的英國GDP增長預期為-0.4%,而之前為-0.2%。預計到10月底,經濟同比增長將更為顯著,為1.4%,高於此前的1.2%。

Pantheon Macroeconomics最近的數據顯示,自疫情爆發以來,英國在七國集團經濟體中表現不佳。能源價格上漲和家庭支出增長放緩是造成這種差異的主要原因。

英國經濟尚未恢復到冠狀病毒感染前的GDP水平。相比之下,七國集團其他所有經濟體現在都比2019年第四季度末更加突出。經濟學家們一直在試圖理解中國經濟表現不佳的原因。

家庭支出的增長尚未跟上物價上漲的步伐,這意味著家庭支出的絕對下降幅度比其他任何地方都要大。這拖累了英國的GDP增長,並增加了長期的衰退壓力。

經濟學家塞繆爾•托姆斯表示:“這在一定程度上是因為美國的消費能源價格沒有大幅上漲,在更大程度上是由歐元區政府直接控制的。”

“但也要注意,自英國退歐以來,英國核心商品價格的上漲幅度高於歐元區,而此前兩者的走勢是同步的。”他補充說:“這表明,英國家庭已經為海外企業向英國出口所面臨的更高成本和復雜性付出了代價。”

與其他國家相比,能源價格上漲所帶來的政府乾預也更為有限,這增加了經濟的負擔。

週二美國將公佈通脹報告,上個月的通貨膨脹率從6.3%下降到6.1%,這是股市上漲和美元疲軟的驅動因素。英鎊兌美元將受到週一英國GDP數據的引導,週二轉看美國通脹。

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