差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

數據公佈前美元處於關鍵時刻

隨著GDP數據即將公佈,美元本周可能會突破窄幅區間。

DXY Dollar Index – Daily Chart

美元指數-日圖

美元指數正突顯美元的轉折點,本週,可能會出現突破或修正。

美國經濟耐久財訂單於週三晚間公佈,市場預期將從1.3%改善至2.5%。第二天,香港時間晚上8點30分將發布GDP數據,但交易者可以利用所提供的水平在近期區間之外進行動作。

美國經濟成長預計將從3.4%放緩至2.5%,這可能會影響利率路徑。一些分析人士批評升息會減緩經濟成長。

美元仍然是亞洲各國央行頭痛的問題,美元兌日圓的交易價位接近155,可能促使日本央行出手幹預。本週,市場也將忙於關注特斯拉和Alphabet等公司的財報。

在利率方面,有些人認為聯準會有可能將利率維持在較高水準。紐約聯邦儲備銀行總裁威廉斯上週討論了升息的可能性,但他認為不會很快升息。目前,聯準會正在尋求2%的通膨率,但最近的數據更接近3%。這打擊了市場對夏季降息的信心,而降息可能會提振經濟成長。

週五將有一個重要的通膨晴雨表——美國個人消費支出(PCE)報告,這可能標誌著美元關鍵的一周。

鮑威爾和其他央行官員繼續強調需要耐心。本週的GDP數據可能是未來幾週交易員的重要指標。芝加哥聯邦儲備銀行總裁古爾斯比是最新一位宣布升息的官員,他表示,今年抑制通膨的進展已經”停滯”。

金價下跌逾2%,至一週低點,先前對中東衝突的擔憂有所緩解,因週末局勢沒有升級。

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