差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

聯準會維持三次降息預期後美元下跌

在聯準會維持利率不變,但仍承諾今年三度降息後,美元全面下挫。

GBPUSD – Daily Chart

英鎊兌美元-日線圖

消息傳出後,英鎊兌美元飆升,將測試2024年的阻力位1.2900。

英鎊兌美元將保持活躍,英國央行將於週四晚些時候召開利率會議。 香港時間晚上8點的發表會可能會將這一趨勢延續到下週。

降息前景削弱了美元,但如果英國央行預計降息步伐放緩,英鎊可能會走強。

週四公佈的英國通膨數據顯示,2月物價再度走低,消費者物價較去年同期上漲3.4%。 路透社對經濟學家的調查和央行上月的預測顯示,年化利率為3.5%

「今天的通膨數據不會改變我們的觀點…Investec的分析師表示:『貨幣政策委員會可能會傳達這樣的訊息,即它著眼於今年放鬆政策利率,但這樣做的障礙尚未克服。 」

這可能會在未來幾個交易日支撐英鎊兌美元匯率,跌破1.29是有可能的。

財政大臣亨特表示,通膨的最新下降可能有助於政府實現取消社會安全稅的目標。 然而,今年稍後將舉行大選。 由於保守黨在民調中落後於工黨,它可能不得不讓位給工黨。

在聯準會公佈後的記者會上,鮑威爾也討論了削減央行資產負債表的問題。

鮑威爾說:「盡快放慢決選的步伐是合適的。」然而,他沒有給出做出決定的具體時間框架,稱官員們只是在討論這個問題。

量化寬鬆政策讓聯準會的持有量膨脹了一倍多,到2022年夏天達到9兆美元的高峰。 當年晚些時候,聯準會開始縮減其所持債券的規模,因為它提高了美國的利率以應對通膨。

然而,聯準會主席最近幾個月對美國政府支出表示擔憂,美元可能在大選中繼續承壓。

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