差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

黃金從1784美元反彈到1814美元:投資者等待本周的非農就業報告和FOMC會議紀要

貴金屬黃金在上周創造了1784美元的新低之後,已經回到了1800美元以上。 在今天的亞洲交易中,創下了1814美元的7月新高。 多頭正在向更高的水準推進,目標是在這個區域之上更高的水準。 今天黃金的直接阻力見於1817美元。 突破這一水準看向1837美元的下一阻力。 然而,如果價格未能突破第一個阻力位,跌破1806美元的日支撐位,預期1796美元的重要支撐位會被再次測試。

本周影響黃金的重要因素

  1. 非農報告:美國非農就業報告將於本週五公佈失業率。 有預測稱,本周的非農就業資料將非常看好黃金。 這是基於美國ISM上周發佈的6月份製造業PMI報告得出的,該報告是兩年來最差的。 ISM製造業PMI降至53.0,低於市場預期的54.6,這與前值56.1截然相反。 ISM製造業PMI數據顯示,就業指數大幅下降,從此前的創紀錄的49.6降至47.3。 同樣,支付價格指數從82.2的上一個記錄下降到78.5,與81.0的市場預期相反。 由於這些疲弱的數據表明就業率將下降,因此分析師們預計,在即將到來的非農就業報告中,失業率將會很高。 正如預期的那樣,高失業率有利於黃金,削弱美元。
  2. 美聯儲紀要:本周影響金價的另一個重要因素是定於週三發佈的美聯儲會議紀要。 在上一次會議上宣佈加息75個基點。 此外,在這次會議期間,委員會將決定是否在7月加息,將對黃金產生重大影響。 因此,委員會的任何其他鷹派立場都將再次打壓金價

本周影響黃金的其他因素

JOLTS職位空缺:這是衡量當月未被失業人員填補的新職位空缺數量,不包括農業。 這一數據的預測是1085萬,而之前的記錄是1140萬。 較高的數據對美元來說是黃金,對黃金來說是不利的。 這一數據將於周三公佈。

ISM服務業PMI報告:該指數衡量的是採購經理人新採購擴散指數(不包括製造業)的水準。 該數據高於50對美元有利。 這將導致金價下跌。 相反,這份報告中的較低數據將是黃金的一個巨大優勢。 這份報告將於周三發佈。

ADP非農就業數據:該數據給出了前一個月就業人數的估計變化,不包括農業部門。 這份報告較高數據將使美元走強,黃金走弱。 這個數據的預測是200k,而前值是128K。 這份報告將於周四發佈。

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