差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

多頭重佔歐元/日圓走勢主導

在市場對日本央行升息預期降低後,多頭重新掌控了歐元/日圓匯率走勢。

EURJPY – Daily Chart

歐元兌日圓 – 日線圖

歐元/日圓從181.00附近的支撐位反彈至184.50附近。阻力位明顯在185.00上方。

週三,歐元/日圓匯率連續第二個交易日走強,此前有報道稱,日本首相已向日本央行表達了對加息的擔憂。

日本央行原本計劃進一步升息以應對持續的通膨。但首相高市早苗一直堅持刺激經濟和促進經濟成長的政策綱領,這與央行的立場相反。

交易員減少了4月即將升息的押注,歐元因此走強。明天,即將卸任的歐洲央行總裁拉加德將於香港時間下午3:30發表演說。根據彭博社對經濟學家的調查,拉加德預計在任期結束前卸任歐洲央行總裁,為克拉斯·諾特接任鋪路。

超過一半的受訪者表示,拉加德將在今年卸任,只有不到30%的受訪者預測她會完成八年任期,該任期將於明年10月結束。

經濟學家表示,如果拉加德選擇提前離任,曾擔任荷蘭央行總裁的諾特很可能會接任。

先前有報導稱,拉加德將在法國大選前卸任,以便總統馬克宏能夠幫助她尋找繼任者,這引發了人們對拉加德的質疑。拉加德本人否認了提前離任的傳聞,但她的繼任者不太可能徹底改變歐洲央行的政策方向。

美國最高法院最近一項阻止川普加徵關稅的裁決使一項貿易協議陷入停滯,最終可能會提振歐元。

關於作者

 

Martin Lam 是 ATFX 亞太區首席分析師,在全球外匯及投資市場擁有逾 20 年的經驗。他畢業於迪肯大學(Deakin University),主修金融與經濟學,並曾在多家領先的外匯經紀公司擔任高級管理職位。

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