差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美聯儲加息75個基點為1994年以來最高

美聯儲將利率上調75個基點,這是28年來的最大上調幅度,這給外匯市場帶來了巨大衝擊。 在5月份首次加息50個基點未能降低通脹水準后,這種激烈的措施變得不可避免。

上週五公佈的5月消費者價格指數(CPI)報告清楚的表明,通脹不斷加劇。 CPI月率達到了非常高的1%,比上次記錄的0.3%增長了0.7%。

同樣,剔除食品和能源價格的核心CPI穩定在0.6%。 這意味著通貨膨脹集中在需求最大的食品和能源上。

另一個證明通脹率上升的因素是昨天公佈的零售數據。 衡量消費者購買的商品和服務數量的零售銷售報告一直是計算通貨膨脹率的一種微妙方式。 這一次的報告錄得六個月來最糟糕的-0.3%,這比之前的0.7%大幅下降,也遠低於0.1%的預測。

上述來自零售報告的數據表明,由於通貨膨脹加劇導致價格上漲,消費者無法從零售商那裡買到很多東西。

因此,在昨天的利率決議上,美聯儲被迫加息75個基點,這是1994年以來最高的加息幅度。

近期的加息會對市場產生什麼影響?

近期的加息將對外匯市場產生重大影響,特別是外匯、加密貨幣、股票和大宗商品。

首先,加息將使美元指數進一步走強。 這意味著我們預計美元指數將突破目前的阻力位105.3,並在其上方創下新高。

接下來,美元不斷走強將使其他貨幣對和以美元計價的商品走低,包括黃金、白銀、比特幣、乙太坊和其他加密貨幣

目前,投資者將避免購買風險資產,而大量購買國債收益率。 這將拉低大多數股票的價格,直到投資者消化這一衝擊。

最後,所有以美元為基礎貨幣的貨幣對都將暫時轉爲看漲。 相比之下,那些以美元為對手盤貨幣將大幅貶值。 例如,歐元兌美元等貨幣對可能會經歷更多的下跌。 相比之下,美元兌加元、美元兌日元等將將有更多的上行空間。

建議投資者使用適當的風險管理策略,因為市場在月底前肯定會出現重大波動。

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