差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

英鎊/美元靜待最新的英國GDP增長數據

在美國通脹水平維持不變後,英鎊/美元匯率等待英國最新的增長數據。

GBPUSD-Weekly-Chart-British-GDP

英鎊/美元 – 週線圖

英鎊/美元匯率在1.2680水平找到支撐,並試圖反彈至1.2800。 GDP數據走強可能會導致該貨幣對突破該水平。

英國增長引擎的月度數據預計將保持在 0%的水平。這將導致同比增長 0.5%,仍超出了之前的衰退預期。

英國國家經濟與社會研究所(Niesr)在其最新預測中表示,英國經濟將在2023年避免陷入衰退。不過,仍有“60%的風險”在2024年底發生衰退。

該組織預測,2023年英國GDP將增長0.4%,較之前5月份的預測略有改善。然而,在藉貸成本高於預期的壓力下,尼爾斯還將早先對明年經濟增長 0.6% 的預測下調至 0.3%。該智庫預測,中國經濟增長至少需要一年的時間才能恢復到2020年初疫情前的水平。 

利率上升預計將達到 5.5% 的峰值,這將是增長前景的關鍵阻力。

尼爾斯宏觀經濟模型和預測副主任史蒂芬·米勒德(Stephen Millard)表示:“英國脫歐、新冠疫情和俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭帶來的三重供應衝擊,加上降低通脹所必需的貨幣緊縮政策,嚴重影響了” 英國經濟”。

“因此,我們預計未來兩年增長將放緩,GDP 只能在 2024 年第三季度恢復到 2019 年第四季度的水平”。

“在下一次選舉臨近之際,解決英國糟糕的增長表現仍然是政策制定者面臨的主要挑戰。”

明天還將公佈美國的消費者信心指數,預計將從 71.6 降至 71.0,因為消費者仍承受著通脹飆升的創傷。週四通脹攀升 0.2%,但距離美聯儲目標利率僅差 1.2%。

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