差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

英鎊/紐元週三迎來雙重通脹報告指引

英鎊/紐元週三面臨雙重通脹數據,英國和新西蘭即將公佈消費者物價指數。

GBPNZD – Weekly Chart

英鎊/紐元 – 週圖

英鎊/紐元的外幣匯率有2.03和2.05兩個上漲目標,下行支撐位在1.95。

對於英國,交易員將關注年度通貨膨脹率能否回到兩位數以下。儘管英國加息, 通脹率的預期仍為9.8%,高於其他G7國家。

由於經濟前景對英國就業市場造成影響,英國的失業率再次上升,週二職位空缺連續第九個月下降。英國國家統計局 (ONS) 表示,分析師預計失業率將保持在 3.7%,但失業率仍上升至 3.8%。

繼上個月的 7.2% 之後,大多數經濟學家預計新西蘭的通脹率將保持不變,預期為 7.1%。

英鎊/紐元預測

新西蘭將利率上調至 5.25%,而英國則上調至 4.25%。新西蘭經濟的通脹達到 7.3% 的峰值,加息需要迅速降低通貨膨脹率。英國處於同樣的位置,因此通脹預期的好轉可能是未來匯率的重要推動因素。

據 EY ITEM Club 智囊團稱,英國正在“轉危為安”。

然而,新西蘭迫在眉睫的經濟衰退預計將是之前預測的兩倍,新西蘭人被警告要為艱難的一年做好準備。 ASB 銀行的經濟學家做出最新預測之際,食品價格以 30 多年來最快的年增長率上漲,導致許多人無力負擔基本費用。 ASB 銀行預測GDP 在2024 年初將下降 2%,是該行在上季度展望預測中 1% 的兩倍。

根據 ASB 的數據,2022 年 12 月當季 GDP 下降 0.6%,預期的經濟衰退現在可能會提前到來,

交易者應關注通貨膨脹率發生的任何偏差並跟隨趨勢。

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