差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

紐儲行記者會前澳幣兌紐元承壓

澳元兌紐元匯率難以獲得動力,因為紐儲行採取了強硬的立場。

AUDNZD – Daily Chart

澳幣兌紐元-日圖

澳元兌紐元一直無法找到突破力量,也無法在價格上築底,本周可能會進一步下跌。

由於紐儲行談到必須在利率方面採取更多措施來冷卻通膨,澳元兌其鄰國貨幣紐元處於掙扎。

然而,分析師認為,紐儲行本週將維持利率不變,但仍有升息的威脅。

接受彭博調查的24位經濟學家有22位表示,週三,紐儲銀行可能會將基準利率維持在5.5%。 只有澳新銀行和道明證券預計利率將升至5.75%。

「我們堅定地認為,最近的數據顯示,貨幣政策正在產生預期的效果,」ASB銀行高級經濟學家Kim Mundy表示。 “但我們承認,經濟中仍存在一些棘手的通膨問題。”

政策制定者一直在為市場對即將降息的押注潑冷水,並表示價格壓力依然存在。 紐西蘭央行走得更遠,威脅要進一步收緊利率。 4.7%的通膨率仍遠高於央行設定的1-3%的目標區間。 紐儲行將於香港時間週三上午10點公佈利率決定。

也將公佈其利率預期的最新未來路徑。 大多數經濟學家預計,與去年11月公佈的數據相比,今年的數據變化不大,當時的數據顯示,今年有可能升息,直到2025年才會降息。

3月6日之前,這將是該貨幣對最後一次高層數據發布,屆時澳洲將公佈最新的GDP數據。 在匯價未能回到支撐位之上之後,紐儲行若延續鷹派的立場,可能會看到紐元繼續走強。

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