差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/美元滑回價格通道中,待IFO數據公佈

歐元/美元在威脅性地突破 1.12 的水平之上,但隨後又回落至價格通道內。

EURUSD: Weekly Chart

歐元/美元:週線圖

目前價格交投於1.10,下方支撐位為1.08並伴隨移動平均線。

週二將公佈德國的 IFO 商業景氣指數數據。預計將從 88.4 降至 88,並從 4 月份的高點 93.5 開始走低。如果數據高於預期,可能會提振歐元的價格。

明天還將公佈美國經濟的消費者信心指數,預期從 109.7 升至 111.8。這可能會讓美元走上更好的道路,因為風險在於美國數據上行和歐元下行。

週四將帶來德國經濟的消費者信心數據,預計與上月相比將再次疲軟。

重大事件將於週四舉行,屆時歐洲央行將宣布最新的利率決策。同日美國央行將做出決定,分析師押注兩家央行將在當前週期內進行最後一次加息。

去年美國的物價上漲了3%,是兩年多以來的最低漲幅,而歐元區的通脹率預計將降至5.3%。

不過,美聯儲主席鮑威爾和歐洲央行行長拉加德仍有可能繼續採取鷹派基調,並有可能在今年晚些時候再次加息。

然而,分析師已經預計美聯儲還會加息兩次。

天達分析師表示:“兩國加息25個基點看起來已經板上釘釘,而且是人們普遍預期的。不過,更緊迫的問題是利率是否已經達到峰值,或者是否有可能在9月份再次加息。”

德意志銀行的經濟學家表示,“歐洲央行希望市場了解其對通脹及時回歸目標的承諾,以及在必要時採取“更高、更長時間”的通脹措施。”

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