差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

美國同意禁止俄羅斯使用SWIFT系統,歐元兌美元匯率走低

本周伊始,歐元兌美元匯率加速走低。烏克蘭戰爭爆發後,歐美各國開始對俄羅斯啟動新一輪制裁。此前,歐元美元匯率已經開始下跌。美國與盟國對俄羅斯發起聯合製裁,反對俄羅斯入侵主權國家,禁止俄羅斯部分銀行使用SWIFT銀行通信系統。此舉導致俄羅斯銀行與公民無法收發全球各地的外匯。俄羅斯十大頭部金融機構均在美國製裁名單中,無法開展全球業務。隨後,美國發出進一步警告,將凍結俄羅斯央行6500億美元的儲備資產。

禁用SWIFT系統的後果

制裁導致俄羅斯無法使用全球金融系統,俄羅斯央行無法干預盧布驟跌的趨勢,政府無法開展跨境交易與融資。此外,俄羅斯的信用評級也跌為垃圾級。歐美各國主要針對俄羅斯最大的兩家金融機構實施禁用SWIFT的製裁,包括俄羅斯聯邦儲蓄銀行與俄羅斯外貿銀行。歐美此舉無疑導致兩大銀行陷入癱瘓的境地。

俄羅斯金融機構的全球外匯交易量超過450億美元,其中80%為美元交易。如今,大部分交易均被終止。

顯然,歐美一系列制裁行為旨在削弱俄羅斯經濟,控制俄羅斯在全球經濟活動中的參與度,最終實現孤立俄羅斯的目標。

歐元兌美元匯率走勢預期

受烏克蘭戰爭局勢加緊和近期嚴重製裁影響,上週歐元兌美元匯率達到年度最低水平。本週,歐元兌美元匯率努力維持在$1.11770的水平,但最終已經跌破這一水平。未來幾天,歐元或將持續這一下跌趨勢。

另一方面,若俄羅斯與烏克蘭本週能夠成功在白俄羅斯開啟和談,牛市隨時可能形成。當然,和談期間,雙方若有任何微詞或分歧,均會導致俄羅斯發起最高水平的攻擊。

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