差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌美元反彈將受到美國就業數據的考驗

在美國就業報告公佈前,歐元兌美元匯率測試了1.0811的阻力位。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日圖

週五公佈的6月非農就業數據預計將顯示新增19萬個就業崗位,低於上月的27.2萬個。然而,失業率預計將穩定在4%。

歐元區6月的通膨率降至2.5%,但仍高於歐洲央行的目標。這一數字低於5月份的2.6%,這是一個積極的信號,因為通貨膨脹率從10.6%下降,但歐洲央行不會急於再次降息。

歐洲央行行長拉加德本週稍早在一次演講中表示,歐洲央行需要確保通膨得到控制,然後才會考慮採取另一項政策措施。此前,歐央行在6月6日的會議上宣布降息25個基點。

拉加德表示:「我們需要時間來收集足夠的數據,以確定高於目標的通膨風險已經過去。」歐元區經濟成長的不確定性依然存在。然而,拉加德指出,就業市場的強勁和低失業率是保持耐心的理由。

同時,在美國,政策制定者仍不打算在利率問題上讓步。

在拉加德出席的同一場活動上,聯準會主席鮑威爾表示,官員希望看到年增長率更接近2%的目標。

他說:“我們只是想明白,我們看到的水平是對潛在通膨的真實解讀。”

鮑威爾警告說,如果時機不對,可能會重新引發通貨膨脹率。

鮑威爾說:“在這個關鍵時期保持貨幣政策的平衡,這是我在凌晨考慮的事情。”

美國也有傳言稱拜登總統將退出競選,因為他最近在與挑戰者唐納德·川普的電視辯論中表現令人擔憂。

這可能不會影響美元,因為他的繼任者可能會繼續他的政策立場和大量支出。

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