差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

欧元兑美元等待杰克逊霍尔重要讲话

欧元兑美元汇率为本周在美国怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的央行会议做好准备。

EURUSD - Daily Chart

欧元兑美元-日图

欧元兑美元在之前的阻力位1.5712上方徘徊。未来一周将决定是否会测试该水平或重返上行。在周五的美联储主席讲话指引之前,趋势应该应该可以保持利好,并有望延续至下周。

分析人士越来越多地认为,美联储准备放松货币政策,这助长了围绕鲍威尔讲话的预期。在最近的7月份生产者价格指数报告超出预期之后,这种看法可能被误导了。FundStrat的Tom Lee表示,他希望“在降息方面采取和解的基调”。

由堪萨斯城联邦储备银行主办的杰克逊霍尔研讨会向来是发布重大政策公告的平台。包括全球央行行长在内的100多名与会者参加了此次会议,讨论政策和经济问题。

荷兰国际集团分析师认为,欧元正处于降息周期的尾声。他们表示:“欧洲央行在7月份维持利率不变,市场已不再完全消化欧洲央行在这个周期内再次降息的价格。”“在峰值时,曲线显示宽松幅度不到20个基点,但只有明年。”

“我们的经济学家指出,美欧协议远非理想,但它确实暂时提供了一定程度的稳定。他们预计2025年下半年不会出现经济萎缩,并略微上调了今明两年的增长预期。尽管这使得要求欧洲央行在9月进一步降息的呼声变得复杂,但不断下降的通胀仍勉强支持再降息一次,而且要在德国的财政刺激措施获得动力之前。

市场对美联储周五讲话的反应很可能至少在下周继续指引欧元兑美元。随着欧央行降息似乎已经完成,市场现在的走势将取决于美联储未来几个月的举措。

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