差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元兌日圓本週將獲得經濟成長前景指引

歐元兌日圓本週將聚焦GDP成長數據,有進一步下行的可能。

EURJPY – Daily Chart

歐元日圓-日圖

歐元兌日圓交易於158.53,上行趨勢線位於158。 如果不能維持,會迎來進一步的疲軟。 此水平下方的支撐位將位於155-156附近。

這將不是日本經濟或歐洲GDP初值。 歐洲GDP數據是第三次估計,預計為-0.1%。 日本GDP預計將從第二季的4.5%大幅下降至-2.1%。

儘管如此,隨著通貨緊縮結束的言論,近期做空日圓的押注正慢慢解除。 在經歷了幾十年的通貨緊縮之後,日本經濟終於迎來了轉機。 路透社表示,在利率較高的環境下,銀行必須對員工進行再教育。

由於央行的大規模刺激計劃影響了收益,該行業一直受到影響。 大型銀行被迫向海外擴張,並投資複雜的金融產品,以尋求更高的收益率。

日本上一次結束零利率是在2006年,「所以對我們大多數一線銀行家來說,這是第一次在利率上升的情況下與客戶打交道,」理索納控股執行長Masahiro Minami說。 「你必須退後一步,忘記明年——只考慮未來五年,」他補充說。

對外匯市場而言,這也意味著做空日圓的押注可能已經停止。 日元已經非常接近預期幹預的水平,並且已經設定了上限。

歐元兌日圓現在從高點下跌超過600點,必須考慮得更遠。

前財務省副大臣榊原英介11月底在日本國家記者俱樂部發表演講時說:“強勢日元符合我們的國家利益。如果我們還想做所有這些事情,就必須放棄其他一些東西。”

這可能需要做很多工作,因為該國必須退出多年的刺激政策和對政府債務的巨大依賴。 日本經濟正在經歷歷史性的轉變,這可能會對日經指數和日圓產生多年的影響。

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