差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

在拉加德發言和通脹數據公佈之前,歐元/加元走向支撐位

歐元/加元匯率將在周二迎來重要數據,歐洲央行行長將在加拿大通脹數據公佈之前發表講話。

EURCAD: Weekly Chart

歐元/加元:週線圖

近期歐元回落促使加元突破1.4235的支撐位。本週的數據可能會印發進一步下跌。

分析師預計加拿大的通脹率將再次下降,從一年前的 6.2% 高位降至最近的 4.1%。經濟學家目前預計核心通脹率將進一步降至 3.9%。 4月份CPI同比上漲4.4%,這是自2022年6月以來首次通脹率上升。

官方通脹數據預計將大幅下降 1%,5 月份通脹率預計將達到 3.4%。加拿大央行可能會同時暫停進一步加息。

BMO 資本市場策略師 Benjamin Reitzes 表示:“週二發布的 5 月份 CPI 報告表面上應該看起來令人鼓舞,總體年度通脹大幅放緩,這在很大程度上是由於基數效應(2022 年 5 月價格大幅上漲)。”

“然而,核心指標的情況預計不太樂觀,這支持了加拿大央行進一步收緊政策的理由。”

本月早些時候,加拿大央行再次將貸款利率上調至 4.75%,為 2001 年以來的最高水平,令投資者感到驚訝。

道明銀行的高級經濟學家萊斯利·普雷斯托表示,本周公布的通脹數據將是央行關注的關鍵因素。普雷斯托表示,核心通脹“近幾個月來並未像加拿大央行所希望的那樣放緩”。

她表示:“如果通脹降溫幅度遠超我們預期,我們對加拿大央行可能再次加息的信心將會降低。”

加拿大皇家銀行的經濟學家預計 5 月份通脹率將放緩,但表示“如果有相當大的下行風險”,加拿大央行可能需要進一步採取行動。

加拿大皇家銀行經濟學家表示:“我們預計‘總體’價格增長將放緩,年增長率將從 4 月份的 4.4% 降至 3.6%。”

“能源價格下跌是經濟放緩的主要原因。食品價格通脹在一月份達到頂峰後預計將再次小幅走低。”

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