差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

歐元/加元聚焦週二法國CPI及加拿大GDP

由於加拿大GDP數據即將公佈,歐元/加元外匯貨幣對可能為交易員提供波動率。

EURCAD – Daily Chart

歐元/加元日圖

歐元兌加元試圖重拾看漲勢頭,此前該貨幣兌加元在1月份從1.46上方的高點回落。

市場驅動因素

交易員們將在周二發布法國的GDP數據,人們一直擔心該國6%的通脹壓力。法國總統馬克龍上週表示,他贊成降低柴油價格,以幫助消費者應對通脹。

他說:“我希望能源部和相關公司之間的對話能夠像去年在燃料方面所做的那樣,在加油站提供回扣,而道達爾等公司就是這樣做的。”

法國政府正在與零售商開會,尋找幫助消費者應對食品價格上漲的方法,以便在3月15號之前找到解決問題的辦法。法國食品巨頭達能公佈全年銷售額增長,但承認通脹飆升和成本上升損害了其利潤率。

週二公佈的關鍵數據將是加拿大GDP,分析師預計該數據將從上一季度的2.9%降至1.5%。在房地產市場急劇下跌後,加拿大的房地產價格也令人擔憂。

歐元/加元預測

牛津經濟研究院在最近的一份報告中警告稱,全球房地產市場崩潰演變成銀行業危機的風險,目前遠高於歷史正常水平。牛津大學利用35個宏觀經濟和金融指標來衡量銀行業風險,認為在未來三到五年內,有高達16%的主要經濟體發生住房危機的機率為18%至20%,而歷史平均水平僅為2%。

加拿大、冰島、荷蘭、瑞典和丹麥被列為最脆弱的五個國家,在未來一年內發生銀行危機的概率為7%,在未來三到五年內發生危機的概率為18%至20%。

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