差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

原油價格在82.50美元阻力位被拒

由於美元走高,油價反彈在 82.50 美元水平遇到阻力。

USOIL – Daily Chart

原油 – 日線圖

美元從近期低點上漲 0.50%,拖累油價週一下跌超過 2%。 82.50 美元現在對原油價格的進一步上漲至關重要。

歐佩克+宣布減產將於 5 月生效後,油價飆升。

全球柴油需求疲軟的跡像也暗示經濟放緩即將利空原油價格。根據中國交通部的數據,截至 4 月 9 日當週,在中國高速公路上行駛的卡車數量下降了 8%。此外,據標準普爾全球公司稱,今年美國柴油需求也將下降2%,這是7年來(疫情年除外)美國柴油需求最大降幅。

伊拉克原油從土耳其傑伊漢港出口的持續中斷加劇了全球石油供應的緊張。土耳其政府希望通過談判達成 15 億美元的和解協議,然後才能允許伊拉克恢復通過管道出口原油。自 3 月 25 日伊拉克贏得國際商會的仲裁案後,土耳其傑伊漢港每天 40 萬桶的石油出口已停止。

原油預測

歐佩克+宣布從 5 月 1 日開始意外減產超過 100 萬桶/日。沙特阿拉伯表示減產是一項“預防措施”,而 3 月份原油產量下降了 8 萬桶/日。美國能源信息署上週表示,原油庫存比 5 年季節性平均值高 2.8%,而汽油庫存比 5 年季節性平均值低 6.9%。

人們還認為,在有消息稱美國不會在今年剩餘時間補充其庫存後,歐佩克已經停止生產。

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