差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

日本央行干預日元

日本央行上週發表了一些威脅性言論,暗示可能會干預日元。

隨著美元最近一路飆升,官員們對日元貶值感到不滿,日元匯率跌至24年低點。

美元/日元日圖

usdjpy chart 23 september

在日本央行的行動中,美元兌日元匯率出現了近500個點的波動。

上周文章中,我們提到了美元兌日元,但也提到了澳元兌日元的潛在損失。交易員通常會忽視干預言論,但他們現在有了底線,在145之前買入美元兌日元將是有風險的。

日本的貨幣政策舉措具有歷史意義,因為這是自1998年以來首次干預日元匯率。在2021年1月,美元兌日元在100水平附近交易,這突顯了市場的變化程度。

日本財務省負責國際事務的副大臣對記者表示,在日本央行將利率維持在接近歷史低位的最新政策決定後,政府在外匯市場採取了“果斷行動”。該行還將注意到美聯儲周三再次加息75個基點,並向美元多頭髮出信息。

荷蘭國際集團(ING)外匯分析師Min Joo Kang表示,”我們認為外匯市場干預只是為了緩和匯率波動,而不是改變貨幣貶值的進程。”

“下一個重大事件風險可能是10月初在華盛頓召開的央行行長和財長會議,”她補充道。 “日本將不得不讓美國當局相信,強勢美元是個問題,這樣G20的外匯措辭才會有所改變。這是一項艱鉅的任務,因為美聯儲似乎仍歡迎美元走強。”

分析師預計,在日本央行行長黑田東彥明年4月退休之前,日本貨幣政策近期不會有任何變化。

“在黑田東彥總裁退休之前,還有四次政策會議,在這四次會議上,政策改變的可能性很小,”康說。 “此外,現在下結論還為時過早,但似乎即使在黑田東彥行長下台後,日本央行也需要一些時間來做出任何政策調整。”

美聯儲發出信號稱,加息將持續到2022年底,而日本央行的干預可能會消除圍繞日元的部分擔憂。

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