差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

週四是歐洲數據密集公佈的大日子

來自歐洲最大經濟體的大量數據可能會為歐元兌美元匯率帶來活力。

EURUSD – Daily Chart

歐元兌美元-日圖

歐元兌美元在1.0845找到了支撐,但由於交易者需要對利率走勢進行衡量,因此一直難以獲得真正的牽引力。

數據將於香港時間週三晚上9:30發布,屆時美國將公佈經濟成長數據。 預計這一比例將從本季的4.9%降至3.3%,對美元來說可能是不利因素。

隔天香港時間下午3:45將公佈法國2月通膨數據。 預計這一數字將降至2.7%,這將有助於降低歐洲利率預期。 德國的失業率在下午4點55分公佈,失業人數可能會因歐元而上升。

數據將持續到晚上9點,德國的通膨數據和美國的個人消費支出通膨數據。

隨著美國和歐洲物價的下降,主要央行有可能降息。 然而,美國經濟更為強勁,有能力在更長時間內維持利率穩定。

如果美國經濟出現更大幅度的下滑,引發對經濟放緩的擔憂,並看到交易員將美國早期的降息預期納入價格,上述理論可能會受到考驗。

摩根大通股票分析師Marko Kolanovic堅持自己的觀點,即投資人對美國經濟的強勁程度和美國股市的前景過於樂觀。

科拉諾維奇寫道:“我們認為,有一種風險是,敘事有可能從‘金發姑娘’轉向類似於上世紀70年代的滯脹,對資產配置產生重大影響。”

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