差價合約是複雜的金融交易產品,可帶來由槓桿作用而導致迅速虧損的高風險。 大部分的零售投資者帳戶在跟交易差價合約時錄得資金虧損。您應當考慮您是否充分明白差價合約如何運作,以及您是否能承受您的資金損失的高風險。

澳元/美元等待澳大利亞GDP數據指引

在令人失望的美國耐用品數據公佈後,澳元兌美元正在等待GDP數據的公佈。

AUDUSD - Daily Chart

澳元/美元日圖

澳元看跌走勢

澳元兌美元跌破了上行通道的支撐,現在在1月初的低點尋找支撐。 GDP數據的公佈可能是澳元下一步走勢的關鍵驅動因素。

美國最新公佈的耐用品訂單下降4.5%,遜於預期。接受《華爾街日報》調查的經濟學家此前預計耐用品訂單將下降3.6%。不過,剔除運輸業的數據後,上月新訂單增長0.7%。

此外,衡量企業投資的一項關鍵指標出現了自去年夏天以來最快的增長。去年12月,波音公司獲得了250份合同,為美國耐用品訂單提供了5.1%的增長。今年1月,這家航空航天巨頭的排名預計將下降,僅為55位。企業投資的年增長率再次放緩,從5%降至4.3%,不到一年前的一半。

由於經濟仍然緊張,澳元一直處於壓力之下。頑固的通貨膨脹導致澳大利亞實際工資出現有記錄以來最大幅度的下降。澳大利亞統計局上週發布了經季節性調整的工資價格指數,該指數顯示,去年第四季度工資上漲0.8%,同比上漲3.3%。但由於通貨膨脹率為7.8%,工資的實際價值已經下降,工資和物價之間的差距現在為4.5%。

整體分析

分析師期待GDP數據有所改善,但預計GDP年增長率將從上一季度的5.9%降至2.7%。澳元一直走弱,疲弱的GDP數據可能推動澳元兌美元向0.6600水平下行。在通脹居高不下的情況下,美聯儲預計將繼續加息,支撐美元。

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