差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

空头会将美元/日元拉低至121.56支撑吗?

在外汇市场上,日元兑其他主要货币的反弹势头一直被关注,尤其是兑美元。在5月初触及131.26美元的历史高点后,空头接管了美元兑日元。在过去两周,空头大幅压低汇价至目前的126.73,并瞄准下一个支撑位121.56。美元走软以及昨天发布的东京CPI数据好转,推动了这波看跌。此外,通胀水平的改善,加上CPI数据低于预期,被认为有一定的影响。

昨天公布的东京CPI数据:

5月份东京消费者价格指数(CPI)同比下降2.4%,低于预期的2.7%和前值的2.5%,这表明通货膨胀率下降了0.1%。

不含生鲜食品的CPI同比为1.9%,低于预期的2.0%,此前的数据为1.9%。

东京不含食品和能源的CPI同比为0.9%,与预期相符。

日本银行行长黑田东彦,认为如果能源价格大幅下降,日本核心消费者价格指数(CPI)在未来12个月可能会稳定在2%。这意味着通货膨胀可能会保持在目前的水平,不会进一步上升。

日本央行行长的上述保证恢复了人们对经济的信心,并为经济增长开辟了其他途径。

美元/日元下一步怎么走?

由于通货膨胀率下降和经济正增长,日元目前非常看涨。日本首相岸田文雄在讲话中说,最近商品和服务成本的增加主要是由于全球燃料和原材料价格的飙升。并表示,政府计划继续努力帮助提高薪资。这表明美元/日元的价格很可能会进一步下跌到下一个支撑位124。如果价格走势跌破这一水平,那么目标价将会转向121.56。

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