差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

美联储加息75个基点为1994年以来最高

美联储将利率上调75个基点,这是28年来的最大上调幅度,这给外汇市场带来了巨大冲击。在5月份首次加息50个基点未能降低通胀水平后,这种激烈的措施变得不可避免。

上周五公布的5月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告清楚的表明,通胀不断加剧。CPI月率达到了非常高的1%,比上次记录的0.3%增长了0.7%。

同样,剔除食品和能源价格的核心CPI稳定在0.6%。这意味着通货膨胀集中在需求最大的食品和能源上。

另一个证明通胀率上升的因素是昨天公布的零售数据。衡量消费者购买的商品和服务数量的零售销售报告一直是计算通货膨胀率的一种微妙方式。这一次的报告录得六个月来最糟糕的-0.3%,这比之前的0.7%大幅下降,也远低于0.1%的预测。

上述来自零售报告的数据表明,由于通货膨胀加剧导致价格上涨,消费者无法从零售商那里买到很多东西。

因此,在昨天的利率决议上,美联储被迫加息75个基点,这是1994年以来最高的加息幅度。

近期的加息会对市场产生什么影响?

近期的加息将对外汇市场产生重大影响,特别是外汇、加密货币、股票和大宗商品。

首先,加息将使美元指数进一步走强。这意味着我们预计美元指数将突破目前的阻力位105.3,并在其上方创下新高。

接下来,美元不断走强将使其他货币对和以美元计价的商品走低,包括黄金、白银、比特币、以太坊和其他加密货币。

目前,投资者将避免购买风险资产,而大量购买国债收益率。这将拉低大多数股票的价格,直到投资者消化这一冲击。

最后,所有以美元为基础货币的货币对都将暂时转为看涨。相比之下,那些以美元为对手盘货币将大幅贬值。例如,欧元兑美元等货币对可能会经历更多的下跌。相比之下,美元兑加元、美元兑日元等将将有更多的上行空间。

建议投资者使用适当的风险管理策略,因为市场在月底前肯定会出现重大波动。

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