差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

白银价格可能进一步跑赢黄金

黄金/白银比的大幅调整可能导致白银对黄金的进一步上涨。

Gold/Silver – Daily Chart
黄金/白银-日线图

黄金/白银比已经跌破了96.499的支撑位,这可能会导致进一步的修正至74.66。

黄金/白银比率从2021年的低点一直呈上升趋势,并在过去两年中得到巩固。白银的优异表现并不意味着黄金价格一定会下跌,但白银的涨幅应该大于其竞争对手贵金属。

这一走势的原因可能与央行买盘回落、零售白银买盘增加和/或商业需求增加或供应短缺有关。2024年,白银的工业需求更高,由于绿色能源需求,投资者希望白银进一步上涨。

上周,现货白银(XAGUSD)飙升至36.40美元,2011年的高点为48美元。

Sprott Asset Management高级投资组合经理Maria Smirnova表示:“突破已经酝酿了一段时间。”“近几个月来,白银曾数次试图突破35美元的水平,因此这一举措意义重大。”

“此外,如果技术性走势催化了实物投资者的买盘,白银可能会迅速走高,”她补充道。

白银市场的价值仅为2万亿美元,而黄金的价值为22万亿美元。这使得银价更加不稳定。随着周三晚些时候公布的美国5月份消费者价格指数,贵金属将成为本周的焦点。

不管市场动态如何,近期该比率的价格活动可能会使白银投资比黄金更有回报。

5月份,全球黄金ETF资金流入为负(减少18亿美元),其中北美(减少15亿美元)和亚洲(减少4.89亿美元)领跌,而欧洲则出现流入(增加2.25亿美元)。

市场可能对美中谈判可能达成的贸易关税问题持谨慎态度。

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