差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

黄金价格再创历史新高

周二,随着投资者对经济不确定性做出反应,金价有史以来首次突破每盎司3500美元。

XAUUSD – Daily Chart

黄金-日线图

在第五次尝试高点后,黄金价格突破了3527美元,这可能会导致一些强劲的跟进。市场将开始为今年剩余时间内金价可能升至4,000美元做准备。

金融体系的压力促使投资者寻求避险资产作为对冲。招聘放缓与通胀上升同时出现。与此同时,由于对英国和法国经济的担忧,长期债券市场出现了压力。美元贬值也促使投资者转向黄金。

美国劳工统计局的数据显示,截至7月的三个月,美国平均新增约3.5万个就业岗位,较前三个月平均约19.6万个就业岗位的增幅有所放缓。

由于关税导致的价格上涨,通货膨胀水平也在上升。投资者目前普遍预期美联储本月将降息,这是对黄金的又一个提振。芝加哥商品交易所的数据显示,市场目前预计美联储降息25个基点的可能性为91%。

全球债券抛售震动了市场,长期债券大幅下跌。30年期美国国债收益率攀升4个基点,至4.97%,而英国借款成本触及1998年以来的最高水平。

欧洲央行政策委员施纳贝尔的鹰派言论暗示,欧洲央行可能不会在下次政策会议上降息。

纽约梅隆银行外汇策略师Geoff Yu表示:“发达国家任何地方的通胀都没有充分下降,这正在影响金融状况,导致股市走软,因为投资者持有的资产似乎更加集中于某些行业。”

一系列完美的因素将金价推至新高,而这是金价第五次尝试突破阻力位,这一事实可能会导致金价持续走高。

最近的新闻
受就业数据提振,美联储加息预期升温,金价跌破4350美元

周二,由于美国就业数据强于预期,市场对美联储今年晚些时候加息的预期降低,交易员纷纷押注美联储将在今年晚些时候加息,金价因此跌破每盎司4350美元。 截至格林尼治标准时间03:02,现货黄金下跌0.4%至每盎司4313.11美元,延续了上周五的跌势。上周五,金价下跌约3%,创下3月24日以来的最低水平

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伊朗与以色列承诺停止攻击,市场在风险偏好改善中观望

要点 * 在美国总统特朗普呼吁伊朗和以色列立即停止开火后,双方周一表示已暂停互相攻击,昨日市场风险偏好情绪有所改善。 * 今日关注重点:今日经济日历整体相对清淡,地缘政治相关的消息很可能继续成为引发市场走势的关键驱动因素,同时市场为明日美国公布最新通胀报告做准备。可关注德国4月工业产出有望转为正增长

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非农意外强劲推升加息预期,本周继续寻求美通胀及地缘指引

要点 * 美国非农就业新增17.2万个就业岗位,大超市场预期,失业率则连续第三个月维持在4.3%,市场跟随提高了对美联储12月加息的预期至68.4%,美股和黄金上周五集体承压。 * 今日关注重点:进入6月第二周,全球金融市场的风险偏好将在多重数据和事件的考验下寻找方向。从美国5月CPI与PPI通胀数

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