差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

央行议息左右欧罗后市

市场正注视周二德国及美国公布3月消费者物价指数CPI, 相信因3月期间国际能源价格高企, 足以令当地通胀高踞不下, 还有俄乌战事引发农产品及工业用金属原材料价格上涨等问题, 使通胀水平可能再创有史以来新高。值得留意随后, 政策官员对通胀问题的最新观点或引发债股及汇市波动。

 

由于周四晚是欧洲央行议息结果宣布, 德国CPI表现可能直接影响欧央行对未来货币政策观点修订, 或有机会把由原先计划在年底前加息展望, 推前至今年三季内或之前发生。

 

倘收水利欧罗反弹

另外, 根据欧洲央行货币政策, 3月份结束抗疫援助买债计划(PEPP)后将会检讨资产买债计划(APP)额度, 该计划是否将开始缩减是这次欧洲央行议息会议重点其中之一。 面对欧洲经济缓慢增长但同时处于高通胀期间, 市场最关心央行决策官员如何应对和往后部署。

 

假如, 央行落实收紧货币政策及缩减买债, 可能让近期低迷的欧罗短期作出反弹。技术上, 欧罗兑美元1.08关口可视为短期重要支持位, 若反弹将留意1.11或1.12范围。周三英国公布3月CPI, 市场正留意通胀水平会否突破历史高位, 刺激英镑同时间接利好欧罗汇率。

 

面对全球高通胀形势, 周三新西兰和加拿大央行宣布议息结果。市场预期, 两国议息将会加息。预期新西兰联储银行将加息25基点至1.25%, 加拿大央行预期加息50基点至1.0%。若两国央行加息幅度较预期高, 可能触发汇率上升。

 

相反, 加息幅度仅符合预期或没有如预期加息将影响汇率下调。 议息后, 留意央行决策者对未来政策展望, 相信会间接影响汇率未来走向。

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