差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

欧元兑日元汇率将受到通胀数据的影响

在周二欧洲消费者价格数据公布之前,欧元兑日元汇率有望保持其上涨趋势。

 

欧元兑日元- 4H图表

欧元兑日元在180.00之前存在支撑,但如果进一步走软,更大的目标可能是11月的高点178.80。

周二香港时间下午5点,欧元区消费者价格数据将出炉,欧元兑日元交易员预计核心通胀率将从2.4%升至2.5%。欧洲央行的首选指标预计将达到2.1%,分析师预计这将确保央行政策制定者保持利率水平不变,因为它符合欧洲央行2%的目标。

如果说目前欧洲央行内部有什么倾向的话,那可能就是认为物价会面临上行压力。该行副行长路易斯•德金多斯在11月底接受彭博电视台采访时表示,“在我看来,调整不足的风险是有限的”。

欧洲央行对股价的评论称:“与本世纪初的情况类似,正加剧人们对资产价格泡沫可能正在形成的担忧,但目前的高估值似乎是由异常强劲的盈利表现支撑的。”

在11月制造业活动回落至收缩区间后,欧元出现了一些疲软。一项私人调查显示,需求疲软迫使企业以七个月来最快的速度裁员。

11月HCOB欧元区制造业采购经理人指数从10月的50.0降至49.6,为5个月低点。新订单继10月停滞后出现下滑,出口订单连续第五个月下滑,突显出欧元走高给国际市场带来的挑战。

日元对欧元表现出一定的强势,此前由于经济刺激计划,日元对全球货币最近走弱。日本内阁最近批准了一项21.3万亿日元(1354亿美元)的刺激计划,通过扩张性的政府支出来提振经济。日本新任首相高市早苗承诺增加支出,尽管人们对日本的巨额债务感到担忧。

关注日元的交易员还必须考虑日本长期债券收益率的价格。

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