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随着欧佩克加入对抗油价上涨的阵营,原油价格下跌

原油价格在过去三周连续下跌,今天在亚洲时段创下每桶104.04美元的新低。在上周的会议期间,最近原油价格的下跌促使石油输出国组织(OPEC)决议应对油价上涨。欧佩克国家在6月的第一周与其他10个非欧佩克国家举行了会议,讨论在非欧佩克国家增加石油产量的可能性。会议还要求所有成员国探索提高本国石油产量的其他途径。

此后,许多国家响应了这一呼吁,这导致了这些国家的石油产量增加,尤其是非欧佩克国家的石油产量。

美国通过提高其石油生产限额和释放其4亿多桶石油战略储备来减少对俄罗斯向欧洲供应石油的依赖。根据经济报告,美国的战略储备预计将在10月份达到40年来的最低水平,达到逾3.58亿桶石油。

上周美国石油和天然气钻井平台录得增加,以提高产量。6月份,钻机数量大幅增加到740台,这有助于降低油价,使油价回到疫情前的水平。

欧佩克将于6月30日与20名非欧佩克国家领导人会面,讨论增加本国石油产量以避免供应不足的替代方法。

为了进一步实现石油价格的长期稳定,欧佩克同意反对俄罗斯的参与。

导致油价下跌的其他因素

加息

原油价格同样受到了大多数国家加息压力的影响,尤其是美国、加拿大、瑞士和欧洲。由于美元汇率的上升,原油价格出现了折价。

对俄罗斯石油的需求减少

对俄罗斯输往欧洲的天然气需求大幅下降。如今,大多数欧洲国家都诉诸于一种替代能源,转而从其他国家(尤其是美国)购买能源。

美国政府增加石油产量,释放战略石油储备

美国政府通过增加石油产量和释放战略石油储备(持有4亿多桶石油),取代了对俄罗斯石油供应的依赖。根据7月份政府预测,美国页岩油产量预计将增加14.3万桶/天达到约891.2万桶/天。

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