差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

比特币在9.4万美元遇阻后,多头重占主导

随着比特币价格再次测试9万美元的水平,比特币1月份的涨势已经动摇。

BTCUSD – Daily Chart

BTCUSD -日线图

94000美元的水平为比特币提供了一个顽固的阻力,比特币价格大幅上涨至89200美元。当前的反弹需要回到阻力位上方,才有可能出现看涨行为。

一些分析师认为,最近比特币的看跌活动是近期强势的上限。散户投资者将关注黄金和白银,而不是加密货币,而机构在最近的熊市后可能会持谨慎态度。

交易员罗曼在X上说:

“我仍然相信7.6万美元即将到来,所有这些横向变动只是为了实现这一目标而重置。我没有看到任何逆转的迹象,汉能薄膜仍非常看空。”

但贝莱德在1月的第一周增加了近9,000个比特币,在2025年年底减少后重建了敞口,并暗示有迹象表明比特币在积累。长期买家也乐于坐下来等待。尽管价格上涨,但长期持有者正以2017年以来的最低价格出售股票。

Lookonchain的数据显示,贝莱德在过去三天积累了比特币,总共购买了9619个比特币,价值约8.78亿美元。这家资产管理巨头目前持有约780,400个比特币,价值700亿美元。

贝莱德的比特币持有量在11月30日达到约80.4万比特币的峰值。然而,该公司的大部分购买都是为了支持其ETF,而不是为了长期押注。

另一个积极的迹象是币安上比特币的交易所流入币日销毁(CDD)指标。这一数字目前处于2017年以来的最低水平,表明旧代币并没有大量转移到交易所。长期持有者的供应量从2025年7月的1500万下降到11月的1360万。然而,在过去两个月里,长期供应并没有进一步减少。

长期持有者可能不愿意出售,担心硬币可能会上涨,但目前的活动仍然看跌全球最大的加密货币。

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