差价合约是复杂的金融交易产品,可带来由杠杆作用而导致迅速亏损的高风险。大部分的零售投资者帐户在跟交易差价合约时录得资金亏损。您应当考虑您是否充分明白差价合约如何运作,以及您是否能承受您的资金损失的高风险。

市场聚焦非农前,加密货币价格进一步下滑

鲍威尔上周五在杰克逊霍尔研讨会上的演讲中保持了强硬立场,自上周五以来,加密货币市场出现了大幅下滑。

鲍威尔周五在谈到美联储对通胀的展望时表示,美联储必须表现出抗击通胀的坚定决心,继续提高利率,并确保将利率维持在较高水平,直到从现有数据中明确显示通胀已得到控制;不介意这段时间失业率是否会上升到新的纪录,经济是否会放缓。

用他的话说:“我们将继续努力,直到我们有信心完成这项工作。”

他的观点来自于他的立场,即美联储未能利用现有工具恢复价格稳定,将给消毒剂带来比当前经济困境更大的痛苦。他的原话是:没有价格稳定,经济就无法运转。

因此,他坚持认为,FOMC将在明年9月的会议期间继续以比以往任何时候都更令人惊讶的力度大幅加息,但在决定新利率之前,将首先研究现有数据。

因此,从上周到现在,投资者已经从加密货币市场撤出了高达720亿美元的大量资金。

加密货币市值再次跌破1万亿美元,保持在9790亿美元。

比特币价格大幅下跌,自上周五以来下跌超过8%,创下19580美元的新低。以太坊,和其他加密货币同样如此。

下跌已经延续到新的一周,在今天的亚洲交易中比特币仍然低于2万。以太坊目前低于1500美元,今天亚洲交易期间的价格在1436美元之间。币安币(BNB)已被推至300美元支撑位以下,创下271美元的新低。在今天的亚洲交易中,Cardano (ADA)Stellar Coin (XLM)、Uniswap (UNIUSD)、Polkadot (DOTUSD)比特币现金(BCHUSD)和其他所有代币都在支撑位下方交易。

所有人都在关注本周的非农就业报告,该报告将给出美国经济的总体前景,并影响美联储在9月下次会议上的决定。

NFP报告将如何影响本周加密货币的价格?

在加密货币市场从上周到现在的下跌中,NFP报告是目前投资者和分析师急切等待的关键经济数据,帮助他们对美联储9月份加息的利率做出进一步的预测。

尽管美联储决心不顾各种困难继续加息,但鲍威尔承认,将首先查看可用的经济数据,以决定每一轮加息的利率。

非农就业报告是联邦公开市场委员会密切关注的重要数据,同时决定采取新的加息利率。这是因为非农就业报告为劳动力市场抵御激进加息的能力提供了宝贵的见解。非农就业数据衡量的是失业率。美国失业率大幅上升,表明劳动力市场脆弱,可能无法在不产生连锁反应的情况下维持过度加息。在这种情况下,美联储将不得不放慢加息的速度。

相反,非农就业报告显示失业率下降,为美联储继续大幅加息提供了更多支持。

因此,非农就业报告中显示失业率上升的较高数据可能会导致美联储放慢加息速度,而显示失业率下降的较低数据将进一步给美联储更多信心,以更积极的方式加息。

在本周NFP报告之前比特币和代币的预测

比特币价格已经跌破支撑位20400美元和2万心理关口。比特币的下一个重要支撑位见于19250美元。跌破该水平可能会看向18600美元的较低支撑位。虽然我们预计这一水平将在本周内保持不变,但跌破这一水平,看到价格直线下降到13617美元。

相反,如果当前水平能守住,我们可以预期会逐步复苏,下一个阻力位见于21,828美元。突破该水平可能引发更多上行空间,目标位在22,542美元。

另一方面,所有的代币,包括以太坊,BNB, ADA, DOT, BCH等,预计将在周五的NFP报告之前遵循与比特币相同的方向。

最重要的是,预计本周加密货币市场将出现大幅波动,建议交易员本周在市场建仓时使用适当的风险管理。

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