美元兌瑞郎等待瑞士CPI和美國數據

美元兌瑞郎匯率將於週三聚焦在瑞士CPI的公佈。

美元兌瑞郎—日線圖

美元兌瑞郎的阻力位在0.8100,這創造了一個下行至0.7848的價格區間。

瑞士消費者物價指數將於香港時間週三下午2:30公佈,市場預期月增0.1%。

美國經濟數據將於隔夜公佈,包括ADP就業數據和服務業PMI。分析師將密切關注就業市場,尋找任何可能增加降息機率的就業疲軟跡象。如果創造的就業機會超過預期,美元可能會測試交易區間的頂部。

瑞士兩年多來首次GDP萎縮是由貿易推動的,關稅打擊了製藥和化學品出口商。在截至9月底的三個月中,國內生產毛額下降了0.5%。與第二季0.2%的成長相比,這一降幅有所下降。

「這需要放在近期外貿波動的背景下看待,」官員表示。 “在與美國貿易政策相關的前期裝運效應的推動下,化學和醫藥產品的強勁出口在最近幾個月讓位給了補償性下降。”

新數據是在本月達成框架貿易協議後發布的,該協議將許多商品的關稅從39%降至15%。較低的關稅預計將於12月初開始,並將開始扭轉最近的經濟壓力。

就美國就業而言,市場預計將增加1萬個就業崗位,低於上個月的4.2萬個。較弱的數字可能會確保12月的降息,但更大的數字可能會導緻美元走強。

美國希望與俄羅斯和烏克蘭達成協議,如果投資者對瑞郎避險貨幣的興趣減弱,這可能會緩解瑞郎流入。

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