关税政策启动令美元兑加元成为焦点

随着市场消化美国关税的影响,美元兑加元汇率可能出现波动。

USDCAD – Daily Chart

美元兑加元-日图

在特朗普宣布加征关税后,美元兑加元大幅走高,该货币对已经回到了之前的高点。在较高位被拒将建立下一个路径,不过守住上升趋势线的情况下可以保持看涨趋势。

本周经济日历清淡,美国等待周三晚些时候发布的ADP就业数据和ISM服务业PMI。但是,由于交易员试图消化关税的影响,市场忽略了短期滞后的数据。

周一,特朗普总统表示,他将暂停对加拿大和墨西哥征收关税一个月,关税问题再次出现转折。两国都承诺收紧边境,特朗普对其25%的关税实施了宽限期。

加拿大和墨西哥都同意向边境增派1万名士兵,以支持警方打击非法移民和毒品贩运。

特朗普在社交媒体上写道,他与墨西哥总统克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆进行了“非常友好”的对话,这些士兵“将被专门指定阻止芬太尼和非法移民进入我国”。

由于关税可能扰乱全球经济,加剧全球各国的通货紧缩效应,市场处于混乱状态。川普还重申了他希望加拿大成为美国第51个州的愿望。加拿大总理特鲁多反对这样的想法,但他本月可能面临对其领导能力的不信任投票。特朗普的举动是由于与加拿大等国的贸易不平衡而产生的。然而,许多分析师担心供需问题和关税的通缩趋势。特朗普目前已经放弃了关税,但这种情况随时可能改变。

交易者应该密切关注外汇交易,因为不断变化的环境可能会导致波动和新的趋势。

最近的新闻
由于鲍威尔中性基调削弱美元,欧元兑美元反弹

欧元兑美元周二攀升至1.16上方,受助于美联储主席鲍威尔的谨慎政策立场,以及法国政治紧张局势暂时缓和,此前法国政府暂停了备受争议的养老金改革。 鲍威尔在一个经济论坛上发表讲话,重申了“逐次会议”的利率决策方式,并表示劳动力市场的风险现在比通胀担忧更重要。虽然他指出,经济仍比预期强劲,但他承认就业方面的脆弱性日益增加,这增强了人们对进一步放松货币政策的预期。

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