欧元兑瑞郎避风港等待瑞士GDP公布

随着欧洲领导人在乌克兰问题上继续与美国意见分歧,周四欧元兑瑞郎汇率聚焦瑞士GDP。

EURCHF – Daily Chart

欧元兑瑞郎-日线图

在一周的水平上,欧元兑瑞郎已经触及阻力位0.95,并且可能会测试区间的底部。这可能是一个卖空欧元涨势的机会,而欧元涨势并没有受到任何主要催化剂的推动。

香港时间下午4点,瑞士GDP预计第四季度增长0.2%,低于上一季度的0.4%。按年计算,这一数字预计将从之前的2%跌至1.6%。

瑞士法郎一直被视为安全的避风港,因为它在地缘政治方面的位置,而且该国在战争问题上一直持中立立场。该国拥有许多秘密银行账户,这可以使其免受任何攻击。然而,这个国家得以远离目前的俄乌冲突。

过去两周,美国和欧洲在乌克兰问题上出现分歧,联合国投票未能将冲突归咎于俄罗斯。特朗普总统也一直致力于促成和平,并将欧洲领导人排除在外。

德国选出一位亲北约的候选人也招致了对美国的批评

弗里德里希·梅尔茨赢得了最近的德国大选,他说了下面的话:

“我从没想过我会在电视节目上说这样的话。但在特朗普上周最迟发表声明后,很明显,美国人,至少是这部分美国人,这届政府,基本上对欧洲的命运漠不关心。对我来说,当务之急是尽快加强欧洲的实力,这样我们就能一步一步地从美国独立出来。”

全球政治格局正在发生变化,随着美国逐渐退出,英国本周誓言将增加国防开支。即使在美国的斡旋下达成了一项和平协议,局势仍然不稳定,欧洲国家在已经在努力平衡收支的情况下增加军事开支,这也会产生影响。

欧元兑瑞士法郎仍然疲软,可能面临下行的威胁。

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