市场预期降息,美国股市小幅走高

交易员预期美联储将降息,从而推高了标准普尔500指数

SP500

标准普尔500指数—日图

标准普尔500指数在5218点存在阻力,没有新的催化剂推动重大变动。

全球股市周二升至一个月高点,受美联储今年将降息一到两次的乐观情绪提振。

上周的美国就业报告弱于经济学家的预期。它显示了近两年来最慢的增长,导致投资者加快了降息的时间表。

根据LSEG的数据,交易员目前预计,到2024年底,美联储将降息45个基点,预计将在9月份首次降息。在最近的通胀数据显示通胀上升后,交易员对降息持悲观态度。基准10年期美国国债收益率跌至4.420的一个月低点。

明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行行长卡什卡利表示,美国房地产市场的强势和较高的通货膨胀意味着货币政策可能没有官员们认为的那么严格。他的报告对通胀率短期内低于美联储2%的目标表示怀疑。

公债收益率也走低,交易商关注本周1,250亿美元的新供应。

财报数据喜忧参半,迪士尼股价因业绩弱于预期而下跌10%。CNBC称私募股权公司对Peloton感兴趣后,Peloton股价大涨。

美股并未受到中东紧张局势的影响,密歇根州消费者数据是5月10日美国市场唯一的高级别事件。美国股市重新回到看涨的基础上,目前还没有任何催化剂促使市场基调发生变化。今年3月,标准普尔500指数在5284点附近创下历史新高,并有可能再次向这一水平迈进。

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