美国股市在关税带动飙升后面临阻力

在美国和中国宣布达成临时贸易协议后,美国股市飙升。

 

SPX 500 - Daily Chart
标准普尔500指数-日图

标准普尔500指数目前正在测试5,796点的阻力位,这是前期高点附近的障碍。

这两个经济大国同意削减关税,缓和贸易战。在财政部长贝森特表示与中国的贸易谈判“非常强劲和富有成效”后,风险偏好情绪重返资产市场。中美双方同意在3个月的时间内相互暂时降低对方产品的关税,其中美国对中国的关税从145%降至30%,中国对美国的关税从125%降至10%。财政部长贝森特说,两国都不想“脱钩”,进一步的谈判可能会导致中国达成“购买协议”。

市场现在将看到贸易战最重要方面的结束,买家可能会回归。市场还将关注美国的零售销售等数据。对于6月17-18日的联邦公开市场委员会会议,交易员们现在认为降息25个基点的可能性为8%。

财报季仍在继续,彭博智库汇编的数据显示,市场普遍认为,标准普尔500指数成份股第一季度的盈利将同比增长6.7%,低于11月初预期的+11.1%。

投资者将希望关税闹剧结束,标普500指数可以瞄准此前的市场高点。

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