白银价格寻获进一步动能涨至50美元

银价再次反弹至关键的50美元上方,接下来的走势将很重要。

XAGUSD – Weekly Chart

现货白银-周线图

现货白银价格在周线图上已经跳升到50美元的水平,这是需要保持更高的关键水平。如果上涨在这个价格再次失败,一个更长的下跌趋势可能会出现。

过去50年的价格历史表明,当白银价格达到50美元或接近50美元时,它无法确保这个价格,这种情况已经发生了三次。我们现在正在考虑另一次突破这一关键水平的尝试。如果投资者看到金价继续涨到50美元以上,他们就会相信,贵金属价格的新一轮牛市已经开始。

本周黄金和白银价格上涨,受结束美国政府历史上最长停摆的协议推动。政府重启后,将公布拖延已久的美国经济数据,预计这些数据将显示美国经济前景恶化,并可能成为美联储12月会议上进一步放松货币政策的催化剂。

较低的利率对贵金属有利,美国的通胀数据也出人意料地疲弱,这可能会导致降息,甚至可能让市场关注刺激措施。

主要金融机构仍看好金属,汇丰将2026年金价定在5000美元。白银突破50美元可能会导致散户投资者的一些FOMO买入,这可能会推动市场走高。

尽管白银是一种贵金属,被认为是一种重要的货币资产,但它的用例正在发生变化,因为现在超过60%的需求来自工业应用。

不断增长的工业需求是白银供应持续短缺背后的关键因素。分析人士表示,这可能会使市场及其本已脆弱的全球供应链进一步复杂化。过去5年,强劲的工业需求导致白银市场出现了严重的供应缺口,使地上库存降至极低水平。

白银上涨的基本面已经具备,投资者将关注白银在今年第二次尝试突破50美元时的表现。

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