OPEC发出可能增产的信号,油价寻找低点

自3月份以来,由于欧佩克暗示可能增产,原油维持在低位水平的交投。

USOIL

美国原油期货- 4小时图

油价试图创造77.50美元的低点,但在79美元处遇到阻力,需要多头再次将目标定在80美元。

在有新闻报道称俄罗斯副总理诺瓦克将提高原油产量后,油价遭遇阻力。投资者还在继续关注以色列和哈马斯战争的发展。以色列拒绝停火,并控制了与埃及接壤的拉法过境点的领土。

CFRA Research的能源股票分析师斯图尔特•格利克曼对《市场观察》表示:“油价下跌是因为以色列和哈马斯之间重新爆发的战争,孤立地不会影响产油国。”投资者对爆发更广泛冲突的可能性不以为然。

俄罗斯副总理告诉国际文传电讯社,在欧佩克+框架内增加石油产量仍然是可能的。

OPEC+由石油输出国组织和俄罗斯组成。预计欧佩克将在第二季度之后继续自愿减产220万桶/日。欧佩克将在6月1日的会议上决定其产量水平。

一个障碍可能是,包括伊拉克和哈萨克斯坦在内的一些国家未能执行商定的减产协议,这些国家第一季度的产量超过了目标。

在周二发布的月度报告中,美国能源情报署下调了今明两年的油价预期。尽管中东局势紧张,但该报告还表示,由于“大量”闲置原油产能,价格波动“受到抑制”。

沙特阿拉伯6月份提高了其销往亚洲、欧洲和地中海地区的原油的官方售价,暗示今年夏季将出现高需求。

原油价格有进一步上涨的阻力,但仍有可能跌至低位。在上周原油库存意外增加后,市场还将关注周三的库存数据。

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