英伟达股价有进一步下跌的风险

英伟达(NYSE:NVDA)一直是美国股市反弹的驱动力,但可能会面临调整的风险。

NVDA – Weekly Chart

英伟达-周图

英伟达股价已跌至131.46美元,如果出现坏消息,则有向100美元水平回落的风险。

“市场上最重要的股票正在动摇,”美国全国广播公司财经频道(CNBC)周一的头条新闻称。去年12月,股价下跌了3%,但比历史高点下跌了10%。

跌至100美元将进一步下跌25%,并将使该股从2023年1月左右的低点(当时人工智能炒作开始反弹)回到38%的斐波那契修正幅度。

如果出现这种调整,将对市场造成冲击,并拖累许多其他科技公司。

伯恩斯坦分析师和其他分析师仍看好该公司。

他写道:“在布莱克威尔的产品周期之前,你必须站在英伟达一边。”“需求看起来明显超出了图表;2025年似乎是一个非常好的年份。”

I/O Fund首席执行Beth kinding表示,布莱克威尔的继任者可能也在计划中。她写道,一款名为Rubin的产品“据传将比原计划提前6个月,最早将于2026年上半年推出”。

芯片需求对英伟达和其他公司来说可能不是问题,但科技股的估值似乎过高,市场冲击可能来自更广泛的市场问题。

随着叙利亚、韩国、法国和现在的德国的变化,政治动荡似乎正在世界各地发生。欧洲最大经济体的总理失去了信任投票。这给欧元区带来了债务风险,显然,现在是对全球趋势保持谨慎的时候。

英伟达的定价约为销售额的29倍,而行业平均水平为3倍,因此有下跌的空间,但仍处于看涨趋势。

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