3月高点仍是港股的关键支撑位

香港股指(HK50指数)在当前水平下方有3月份的高点作为支撑,分析师们对2026年的市场仍持乐观态度。

HK 50 – Daily Chart

香港50日线图

今年3月的高点在9月成为支撑,支撑金价升至2025年高点。价格现在接近24,900-25,000的水平,在进一步上涨之前可能会测试它。

汇丰和摩根大通是看好2026年香港和中国内地股市的银行之一。

汇丰私人银行为恒生指数明年设定了31,000点的目标,这将再增加22%。摩根大通表示,受全球经济增长、企业盈利增加以及电子商务竞争缓和的推动,中国内地和香港股市在2026年可能都将实现20%的涨幅。

“业绩给了我们信心,”首席中国策略师Wendy Liu表示。她补充说,中国在经历了2021年至2024年年中导致外国投资缺乏的低迷后,正在经历一段盈利恢复期。

刘说:“就增长扩张而言,我们仍处于一半的阶段,收益看起来不错。”

与此同时,会计师事务所毕马威对香港2026年的IPO市场持乐观态度。预计明年市场规模将增至3500亿港元,延续了2025年的增长势头。毕马威预计,明年将有180至200份申请,较创纪录的一年增长28.7%。

“我们还预计,2026年将是高科技企业上市的关键一年,进一步巩固香港作为全球资本市场领导者的地位,”毕马威驻中国的Louis Lau Tai-cheong表示。

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