香港股市将聚焦周一中国PMI数据

恒生指数在一个关键水平附近交易,并将关注周一中国服务业PMI数据。

HK50 – Daily Chart

香港50指数日图

恒生指数从20,000点的心理阻力位反弹,在未来一周,观察该指数能否突破该水平将是很重要的。下一个上行目标位在22,719点。

财新服务业PMI指数将于香港时间周一上午9点45分发布,交易员预计该指数将从51.4升至51.7。更强劲的数据可能提振亚洲和全球股市。

今天晚些时候,市场将关注特朗普赢得大选的计划认证。1月6日的数据后,视线将转移到1月10日对即将上任的总统的判决,此前他曾因封口费审判被定罪。法官表示,不建议判处监禁,但未来几天市场可能会出现一个曲线球。随着本周事态的发展,美元也将成为众目睽睽的焦点。

香港时间下午4点55分至5点的欧洲数据也可能随着德国和欧元区PMI数据而影响美元。

在香港交易所,一大批公司宣布计划在1月底前在中国上市。此举提振了香港的IPO前景,有六家公司表示,它们计划在1月底前举行IPO,筹资33亿港元。其中包括中国玩具制造商Bloks Group Ltd .,该公司的零售交易商已寻求借入600亿美元参与此次发行。

在未来的一年里,我们可以看到中国政府继续支持经济,一些早期的数据可能有助于在短期内推高指数,首先是周一的服务业PMI数据。

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周二,由于英国和美国的经济数据为英镑提供了支撑,英镑兑美元汇率走高,涨幅约为0.5%。 英国劳动力市场数据令人惊喜,新申请失业救济的人数下降了6.2万人,远低于预期的20.8万人。相比之下,平均盈利增长放缓的幅度大于预期,有助于缓解通胀压力。在大西洋彼岸,美国7月份消费者价格指数(CPI)数据几乎没有改善,但仍然足够低迷,维持了美联储9月份可能降息的预期。

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