中东和平协议推动港股大涨

伊朗和以色列似乎宣布达成和平协议,香港股市应声上扬。

HK50 – Daily Chart
香港50指数日线图

香港50指数在去年10月23232点的高位得到支撑后,跃升至24177点。这将在24,876点的高位为上升趋势提供支撑。

美国总统特朗普宣布伊朗和以色列达成临时停火协议,增加了风险偏好,缓解了对石油供应中断的担忧。沪深300指数上涨2.1%,上证综合指数也随之上涨。

特朗普周一表示,以色列和伊朗同意停火24小时,就在几天前,他对伊朗领土发动了袭击。作为回报,伊朗袭击了美国空军基地,并威胁要关闭一条主要的原油航道。

香港财政司司长陈茂波说,由于香港在股市和财富管理方面的实力,全球投资者正将香港视为一个可靠的避风港。

尽管全球政治和经济环境不确定,但香港作为自由港的地位及其强大的法律体系是外国投资者选择香港市场而不是中国内地股市的关键原因。

香港证券交易所今年的日均成交量已增至2,400亿港元,IPO融资规模也在全球领先。

陈补充说:“预计在未来两到三年内,香港将成为世界领先的跨境资产管理中心。”

在欧美股市徘徊在历史高位之际,流入香港的资金应继续作为一个分散投资的机会得到支持。

中东局势因达成“暂定”协议而降温,但在股市逼近近期高点之际,仍应谨慎行事。香港50指数的水平为突破或回调提供了支撑和阻力。如果交易者表现出迟疑,也可能出现盘整期。

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